Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000559 0.000640 0.000726 0.000825 0.000933 0.001049 0.001182
2025-07-27 0.000428 0.000539 0.000665 0.000819 0.000999 0.001203 0.001450
2025-08-03 0.000355 0.000476 0.000621 0.000806 0.001032 0.001297 0.001628
2025-08-10 0.000308 0.000438 0.000601 0.000815 0.001086 0.001413 0.001833
2025-08-17 0.000269 0.000403 0.000577 0.000814 0.001123 0.001505 0.002008
2025-08-24 0.000228 0.000360 0.000539 0.000789 0.001125 0.001552 0.002126
2025-08-31 0.000195 0.000324 0.000505 0.000767 0.001128 0.001596 0.002237
2025-09-07 0.000173 0.000301 0.000487 0.000764 0.001154 0.001669 0.002388
2025-09-14 0.000154 0.000282 0.000472 0.000763 0.001181 0.001744 0.002540
2025-09-21 0.000136 0.000261 0.000453 0.000753 0.001194 0.001799 0.002667
2025-09-28 0.000119 0.000240 0.000431 0.000738 0.001198 0.001840 0.002776
2025-10-05 0.000112 0.000234 0.000432 0.000757 0.001252 0.001951 0.002981
2025-10-12 0.000103 0.000225 0.000428 0.000768 0.001295 0.002050 0.003175
2025-10-19 0.000092 0.000210 0.000413 0.000762 0.001312 0.002111 0.003317
2025-10-26 0.000081 0.000195 0.000396 0.000750 0.001319 0.002158 0.003438
2025-11-02 0.000075 0.000187 0.000392 0.000758 0.001357 0.002250 0.003627
2025-11-09 0.000068 0.000177 0.000382 0.000757 0.001380 0.002320 0.003785
2025-11-16 0.000059 0.000161 0.000361 0.000734 0.001366 0.002334 0.003860
2025-11-23 0.000051 0.000147 0.000341 0.000713 0.001354 0.002350 0.003937
2025-11-30 0.000046 0.000139 0.000332 0.000710 0.001371 0.002411 0.004083
2025-12-07 0.000041 0.000132 0.000325 0.000709 0.001392 0.002476 0.004236
2025-12-14 0.000037 0.000123 0.000313 0.000700 0.001397 0.002518 0.004354
2025-12-21 0.000032 0.000114 0.000299 0.000686 0.001393 0.002545 0.004449